Adam Khoo Piranha Profits review and notes (Fundamental Analysis)

Here's my concise notes from Fundamental Analysis to identify great businesses from Adam Khoo's Piranha Profits Online Investment Course. These are some useful concepts that I jotted down while going through the online modules.

A way to identify great business is by analyzing their Financial Statements. I learnt quite a bit of the concepts while preparing for my CFA level 1 exam. To identify great businesses, we need to look at their income statement, balance sheet and statement of cash flows.

Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3

Useful websites: Reuters, Yahoo Finance, Investing

Income statement

To analyse the financials of a company, you can zoom in on revenue, net income, extraordinary items (one time cost/revenue off that should be removed) at Reuters. Here, I used Microsoft Corporation (data: 17 Sep 2021) as a reference.

We want to look out for a consistent increase in sales revenue, net income, gross profit and net profit margins. Do note that growth companies usually have negative earnings at the start. It would be the best if we can find a company with the highest gross profit and net profit margins in the industry.

Useful formulas

Gross profit margin = gross profit/sales revenue *100%

If the gross profit margin is 50%, it means that every $1 of sales, the company can keep 50cents

Net margin = net profit/sales revenue *100%

Click on Key Metrics for profits related information

There will be a section on Margins. When you compare Gross margin (TTM) at 68.9% vs Gross Margin (5Y) at 66.79%, there is an improvement. There is an increase in net profit as well.

To look at how Microsoft is performing against their competitors, head to Investing.

Head to ratios, after clicking on Financials

Here, we can see the comparison against the industry

Balance sheet

It tells us how financially strong the company is, its assets and liabilities. We look at the data from the latest point in time (look at the latest quarter). We will refer to Reuters and Yahoo Finance for the data.

At Yahoo Finance, zoom in on the latest quarter.

Useful Formulas to understand if a company is conservative in their debt

Current ratio = CA/CL (>1 would be good)

Debt to EBITA ratio = Total debt/EBITA (<3 would be good)

Total debt = short term + long term debt

EBITA: another type of profits before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation

This ratio tells us how long it takes for company to pay back its debt based on its annual profit

Debt servicing ratio = Net interest expense/Cash flow from Operations *100% (<30% would be good)

This ratio shows x% of the cash earned every year goes to pay the interest

Net interest expense: how much interest the company is paying because of the debt that it has. Also net the interest it gain

These formulas do not apply to highly leveraged companies such as banks, financial companies, property developers, Reits and commodity companies.

From Reuters (key metrics),

From Yahoo Finance (statistics),

From FinViz that caters to US companies only,

From Gurufocus,

It provides Debt/EBITA ratio as well.

Use Yahoo Finance to do a manual calculation of debt to EBITA

Total debt = current debt + long term debt

Debt to EBITA ratio = Total debt/EBITA (<3 would be good)

To find EBITA (a type of income), go to income statement

Income statement - view on an annual basis

Balance sheet - quarterly

Debt servicing ratio = Net interest expense/Cash flow from Operations *100% (<30% would be good)

From Yahoo Finance, head to Financials for income statement and cash flow. Figures are taken on an annual basis.

Statement of Cash Flows

Cash Flow from OperationsCash inflow and outflows from a company's operations. Used to calculate intrinsic valueInvest in companies with positive & increasing cash flow from operations. Banks, commodity and property developers have inconsistent cash flow from operations
Cash Flow from InvestingCash inflow and outflows from a company's investment activitiesInflow: selling of assets, equipments and investments
Outflow: buying assets and equipment (capital expenditure)
Cash Flow from FinancingInflow: borrowing money, selling shares to raise money
Outflow: paying back loans, share buybacks

Shares get diluted when companies sell new shares to generate more cash (outstanding shares will increase accordingly). Each share is worth less because you need to share the company's profits with more people.

Net Income (annual total profit) /Shares = earnings per share

  • =1 means for every share you own, you get a dollar in profit

If the increase in Net Income is more than the increase in outstanding shares, it is not a concern.

A Share Buyback is good if company is doing well and current share price is undervalued

For Cash flow figures, you can use Yahoo Finance, Reuters and Guru Focus.

Reuters: Financials - Cash Flow (annual)

When Cash from Investing activities is negative, it means that money is going out from investments.

When Cash from Investing activities is negative, it means that cash is used to buy back shares or pay back bank loans etc.

From Yahoo Finance, you can get the data including Free Cash Flow.

Free Cash Flow = Cash Flow from operations - Capital expenditure from investing

It is best if it's positive and rising every year. We will be concerned if it is negative for too any years, as the company will run out of cash and have borrow more by issuing shares etc.

From Guru Focus, we have a chart for these Cash Flow figures.

Financial ratios

Earnings per share (EPS)

  • Net profit (after tax) earned per share of stock.
  • Net profit after tax/ total shares outstanding
  • Can be increased by either an increase in net profits and/or decrease in shares outstanding by Share Buybacks

Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)

  • Current share price/ earnings per share (EPS)
  • You are paying x times for every dollar of earnings

You can get EPS and P/E ratio from FinViz. Useful indicators: Income, EPS (ttm), P/E and Shs outstanding

Return on Equity (ROE)

  • Net profit after tax/ Total Shareholder's equity
  • High ROE shows that the company is efficient at making money
  • ROE > 12-15% is good
  • We want to see consistent and high ROE over the last 5 years

You can head to Reuters to get ROE data under Key Metrics - Refer to Return on Average Equity (Annual) and Return on Average Equity (5Y) for 5 year negative

Possible reason why ROE is negative even net income is positive is because of L>A (so shareholder equity is negative). This happens when they do share buybacks so this will reduce cash (asset) and shares outstanding. Also take advantage of low interest rate for a loan for share buyback.

To screen for companies with good fundamentals, use Finviz (screener and chart)

Criteria

  • EPS growth next 5 years: over 10%
  • ROE: over 10%
  • Sales growth past 5 years: positive or over 10% if you are stricter
  • EPS growth this year: positive
  • Current ratio: more than 1
  • EPS growth next year: positive
  • EPS growth past 5 years: over 10%

Thank you for reading my post! Please feel free to connect with me and get updated posts on Facebook.

Latest Posts

Adam Khoo Piranha Profits review and notes (Stock analysis)

Here's my concise notes after learning about the step by step guide to analyse stocks […]

Read More
GSG vs DBC: Which Commodity ETF Is A Better Investment

GSG and DBC are popular exchange-traded fund, with a focus on Commodities. Both are incorporated […]

Read More
3067 vs 3033: which ETF is a better investment

This is a comparison of 3067 vs 3033. Learn how to analyse which Hang Seng […]

Read More
Adam Khoo Piranha Profits review and notes (Stock valuation)

Here's my concise notes from Stock valuation to value the shares of a business from […]

Read More
Different types of Thinking to adopt

I became fascinated about the broader scopes of thinking after reading The Art of Thinking […]

Read More
Ikigai: The Secret To Live A Long & Happy Life (quick summary)

Ikigai is the Japanese secret in living a long and happy life. According to the […]

Read More

Subscribe

scrappyfinance@gmail.com
Scrappy Finance may have financial relationships with the companies mentioned or seen on this site. We are not responsible for any actions taken by users.
© Copyright 2020 – SCRAPPY FINANCE · WEB DESIGNED BY TERRIS.SG
closearrow-circle-o-downellipsis-vchevron-down